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Housing construction meets is ultimate adversary – Water

It’s time for the LADWP to suspend issuing ”Will Serve” letters to developers that promise to provide water for new housing projects. Continuing to issue these letters serves to demonstrate that our water utility does not have its current users best interests in mind.

Yesterday, the Department of Water Resources announced its initial allocation of 15 percent for water delivery to State Water Project (SWP) contractors in 2009.. a month early.  The unusual early arrival of the contractors notice added to the sense of urgency of California’s water supply.

“This further dramatizes the urgent need for additional investments in water storage and conveyance infrastructure to assure an adequate and reliable water supply,” said DWR Director Lester Snow. “The uncertainly of precipitation patterns due to global warming and deteriorating conditions in the Delta, California’s main water hub, demand immediate action to enhance our ecosystem and keep our economy productive in the 21st century. The Governor has sounded the wakeup call, and the clock is ticking.”

The allocation is the second lowest in the history of the SWP. It reflects the low carryover storage levels in the state’s major reservoirs, ongoing drought conditions and court ordered restrictions on water deliveries from the Delta.

The MWD’s initial allocation from the state will be cut water supplies from 1,911,500 acre feet (AF) to only 286,725 AF. That’s an 85% cut in supplies to all MWD customers including LADWP. The MWD then divides up the supplies allocated to them and distributes it to its various customers throughout the Southland. 

Looking at this in another context, LADWP received more water last year from MWD than what MWD is going to get this year for the 26 cities and water agencies it serves in southern California. While all of this does not include supplies from the Colorado River Aqueduct, it to is being consumed faster than the river can supply it.

Reading Lester Snows comments above I can’t help get the feeling that they don’t get it or that they are political appointees parroting what their bosses want them to say.

We cannot even fill the lakes we have (Diamond, Folsom, etc.) so what’s with the comment that “additional investments in water storage” are needed? Furthermore, he goes on to say there needs to be additional investments in a “conveyance infrastructure” yet there is not enough water to fill those pipes such as “Inland feeder” and convey it somewhere.

Our city and state leadership both need to come to grips with the problem and recognize that their policies have contributed significantly to it.

Regardless of desktop assessments that tell the city it needs need ten’s of thousands of new housing units, the reality is that there are not enough water resources to fulfill that fantasy.  Ignoring the practical limits of supply, cities have built-out so significantly that they have finally reached the point where consumption exceeds supplies.

The problem is their fantasy that we as a region continue to build new housing to meet projected population growth which is expected to grow to 26 million in Southern California by 2035, and 30 million by 2050. 

The City of Los Angeles has been contributing to the problem by its insistence to build 13,000 housing units per year. Other counties have been doing the same. One city planning official was heard saying “if a city doesn’t grow, it dies.”  This philosophy is absurd.

Now we’ve come to this. Not even the Villaraigosa’s recently rolled out “Securing L.A.’s Water Supply” plan will be able to overcome a water supply that may drop to below 500,000 AF levels. Recycled or not!

This reminds me of the famous phrase “If you build it, he will come.” Both the State and local Government agencies seem to have adopted a similar twist to that “If you build it, they will come.” However if you don’t build it they will look for greener locations elsewhere.

If Judge Wanger can order Delta pumps shut off to protect the Delta Smelt, then the LADWP can withhold ”Will Serve” letters to new housing projects to protect residents in the City of Los Angeles.

Unheard of water cuts on the horizon

I knew that the news coming out of the State Water Project was going to be bad this coming November but if early reports of 85-90% cut are true, Los Angeles is going to be in a world of hurt.. and soon.

The news is bad because LA gets roughly 50% of its water from Metropolitan Water District and much of its supply comes from the SWP. Cutbacks to contractors of 85-90% could result in our city water service being cut back to 60-70% of historical norms to Los Angeles residents. Maybe less. My guess is that we may see water deliveries dropping to historic lows. Lower than 1977-78 levels and this time with an additional burden of a million more people.

The financial market crisis has hit building construction very hard and the result has been in a slowing of new housing construction but eventually that will turn around.

What will not turn around is our water supply. The Los Angeles Planning Department along with the Mayor and the City Council need to take this into account before they approve any further housing production from this day forward.

We are built-out when it comes to the water supply and its time to redefine what ‘normal’ is.

SCAG tells us we need housing for 26 million people in Southern California by 2035 but given the real cap on available water, that can’t happen unless we are reduced to 60 gallons a day per person. 

An honest discussion has to be made on how far our region can be allowed to grow before limits are placed on it. 

Anyone want to bet that we’ll skip phase II and III water restrictions and simply jump to phase IV or V this coming year?

Mixed messages from the mayors office on what foreign visitors spend in LA

You might remember the figures that Villaraigosa recently quoted at the arrival of the Quanta’s A380 at LAX. The press release claimed, which was later parroted in a speech by the Mayor that just one flight each day would bring Los Angeles $632 million a year which comes out to be $1.73 million a day. Given the planes configured capacity of 450 passengers that would be about 164,250 tourists a year.

Compare that with the report on LAist.com about the just expanded federal visa waiver program, Villaraigosa’s office thinks the program could bring 200,000 South Korean tourist and $60 million a year.

Hmmm.  Why the extraordinary difference?

164,250 Aussies bring in $632 million and 200,000 South Koreans bringing in just $60 million? This can only mean one of three things. 1) That the Aussies are incredibly rich with each tourist spending over $3,800 a day or, 2) South Koreans are incredibly frugal spending just $300 each or, 3) the Mayors office left off the decimal point in the Quanta’s estimate.

He wouldn’t have been have been purposely ginning up the A380′s economic impact for the Los Angeles Area Chamber of Commerce would he? A plane that the downtown chamber has been hoping would bring dollars to downtown.

October 22, 2008
Possible South Korean Tourism Influx on the Horizon. A host of Eastern European countries and South Korea were accepted into the U.S. Visa Waiver Program today, meaning visitors from these countries will be permitted an unlimited number of travelers to visit the U.S. without a Visa. And that’s good news for Los Angeles’ tourism, says Mayor Villaraigosa: “Los Angeles already enjoys a strong community of nearly 400,000 citizens of Korean descent, but this new program will strengthen our economic and cultural ties with South Korea to unprecedented new heights.” His office thinks the program could bring an additional 200,000 tourists and $60 million in visitor spending to Los Angeles within a year. The program will go into effect next month.

If the mayors A380 claims are correct, that’s enough to solve our city budget, lower our trash and water rates and hire 2000 more police officers!

The old Milliron’s/Broadway display houses

Lucy asked about the display houses in a comment of an earlier article on the Milliron’s Department Store. Our community historian and author Duke Dukesherer replies:

The display houses and many of the display windows are long gone.

Old time residents will remember that The Broadway sponsored a window painting competition every Halloween. Teens would paint huge mural-like paintings on the windows, and awards were given to the goulie-spooky artists. When I was a kid, it was great fun walking along Sepulveda Boulevard and viewing the art.

Also when I was a kid, this part of Westchester was a vibrant, meaningful part of the town; much more so than today, although many recent improvements have brought the vital shoppers back to the Boo-levard, (sorry, I am in a Halloween mood). Years ago, neighborhood residents had the luxury of two department stores, The Broadway and JC Penney; two theatres, Thom McCann Shoes, See’s Candies, Monroe’s Men’s Store, Woolworth, Newberry’s, Thrifty’s, and specialty stores like jewelry and pet stores—and many more.

I am not an expert in this sort of thing, but I believe that the department store is the key, to “anchor” the area, and draw in the shoppers to the area. Moreover, to keep residents, including the students of LMU and Otis Colleges, trading locally, and creating jobs for locals in the process. This is one of the reasons I mentioned Sears as a good alternative, as they carry a great variety of goods and services. By the way, there is a second story at the Mervyn’s, or at least there was, and perhaps the rooftop parking could be restored.

The former Milliron’s location traces its roots to one of the most prolific architects in history; sometimes credited with “inventing,” and called, the Father of, the shopping mall: immigrant Victor Gruen.

Gruen escaped Nazi occupied Austria in 1938, and eventually came to California with his new wife, and co-worker, Elsie Krummeck. They eventually designed the location, and began a lifelong successful career in designing shopping centers. This building was his first major project.

Milliron’s: 1949. Here is an aerial shot of the location and roof top parking and restaurant.

  Parking ramps were removed

This is a view of the entrance to the rooftop parking lot, later closed as you can see from the photo on the right. This is at the south side of the building on La Tierja.

GRUEN AND KRUMMECK, graffiti painted, commemorative plaque.

As the end of the war approached, Gruen became more and more interested in the concept of shopping centers as the ultimate retail achievement. As with his other retail endeavors, Gruen sought to combine the concepts of a retail shopping facility with a social and entertainment center.

Gruen believed that the shopping center was the heart of any community, and without one, a town would eventually grow stagnant. We have a chance to rally around this grand old dame, and make sure that developers continue to try and do the right thing in Uptown Westchester.

Three streets that helped to build Westchester and Playa del Rey

Formerly sections of Rancho La Ballona and Rancho Centinela; previously called Rancho Sausal Redondo (Ranch of the Circular Willows), the former horse and cart paths: Manchester, Sepulveda and Lincoln Boulevards were developed.

As more efficient means of transportation and construction were introduced, these former dirt roads brought students to Loyola University, crops to market and tourists to the seashore.

MANCHESTER BOULEVARD, 1928. Looking west from about Sepulveda Blvd. (Courtesy, Google Books)

MANCHESTER BOULEVARD, 1928. Looking west from about Sepulveda Blvd. (Courtesy, Google Books)

Eventually, a local barley field: Mines Field would be developed into LAX, and these roads would be further developed to bring travelers to the new international airport, and the new communities that sprung up in the area. Developers like Burns, Drollinger, Hannon and Kaiser would erect a town where celery, strawberries and other crops once grew.

SEPULVEDA BOULEVARD, 1942. Partly sparked by the war effort, Sepulveda was widened and re-opened to great fan-fare as it was dedicated near Centinela Boulevard. (Courtesy, Los Angeles Public Library).

SEPULVEDA BOULEVARD, 1942. Partly sparked by the war effort, Sepulveda was widened and re-opened to great fan-fare as it was dedicated near Centinela Boulevard. (Courtesy, Los Angeles Public Library)

“The American city should be a collection of communities where every member has a right to belong. It should be a place where every man feels safe on his streets and in the house of his friends.” Lyndon B. Johnson

LINCOLN BOULEVARD, 1934. This is a view heading south, approaching Jefferson Boulevard, at present day Marina Del Rey. (Courtesy, Los Angeles Public Library).

Today, along with the San Diego Freeway, route 405, these three roads remain the most vital arteries for the residents of Playa Del Rey, Westchester, and Playa Vista, California.

Much has changed over the years, but one thing remains constant; the need for proper and well-ordered roads and infrastructure to sustain the citizens of, and visitors to, our town.

One Reader Writes…
Milliron’s Department Store

Since Mervyn’s is in the news, here is something that a few of our Senior residents might remember. The current location of Mervyn’s opened as a department store in 1949, as Milliron’s Department Store.

Milliron's Department Store Opening (1949)

MILLIRON’S DEPARTMENT STORE, GRAND OPENING, 1949. 1949 LA Herald Examiner: “Exterior view of the new modern Milliron’s store in Westchester. The unique display houses are set at an angle for the benefit of auto traffic on Sepulveda Boulevard. Exterior view of the new Milliron’s store in Westchester on March 17, 1949. A large crowd was drawn to official opening ceremonies at the store on Sepulveda Boulevard near Manchester.” (PHOTOS: Courtesy Los Angeles Public Library.)

Milliron’s Department Store (1949)

Just a few years later, Milliron’s was acquired by Broadway Stores, and The Broadway-Westchester operated here for decades. Many locals will remember the roof-top parking, and Garden Rooftop Restaurant, that was a famous place for mothers to take their daughter to tea.

Along with the theatres and specialty shops that once lined Sepulveda Boulevard, the “Uptown” Westchester shopping area was the center of commerce for all of Westchester and Playa Del Rey. With Mervyn’s closing, I hope we can quickly find a new tenant; such as a Sears or J C Penney.

DJ “Duke” Dukeshere is the author of the A Reader Writes… column can be found in the Westchester HomeTown News each month.

Comments– dukehometownnews@yahoo.com

Mervyn’s Closure
Hard times coming to Westchester business district?

This is certain to leave a huge retail gap in our Westchester business district. KTLA is reporting on its web site that Mervyn’s will be liquidating all of its stores.

Mervyn’s has been Westchester’s sole retailer deserving of the anchor store title.  Our aging Westchester business district has historically had trouble attracting large retail outlets. Most of them preferring Culver City to the north and El Segundo and Manhattan Beach to the south where investments in retail property has been high. ABLA as it seems.

(AP) Ailing department store chain Mervyns LLC, which filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection in July, is expected to announce as early as Friday that it plans to liquidate all of its stores, according to one source close to the situation.

When the Hayward, Calif.-based chain filed the Chapter 11 petition on July 29, it said that it planned to reorganize its business and keep open all of its 175 stores. Mervyns now operates mainly in California and has seen its sales drop further as the state is among the hardest hit by the real estate slump.

Protecting marriage to protect children

Marriage as a human institution is constantly evolving. But in all societies, marriage shapes the rights and obligations of parenthood.  This is the reason why it is so improtant that we should  Vote Yes on Prop 8.

By David Blankenhorn

I’m a liberal Democrat. And I do not favor same-sex marriage. Do those positions sound contradictory? To me, they fit together.

Many seem to believe that marriage is simply a private love relationship between two people. They accept this view, in part, because Americans have increasingly emphasized and come to value the intimate, emotional side of marriage, and in part because almost all opinion leaders today, from journalists to judges, strongly embrace this position. That’s certainly the idea that underpinned the California Supreme Court’s legalization of same-sex marriage.

But I spent a year studying the history and anthropology of marriage, and I’ve come to a different conclusion.

Marriage as a human institution is constantly evolving, and many of its features vary across groups and cultures. But there is one constant. In all societies, marriage shapes the rights and obligations of parenthood. Among us humans, the scholars report, marriage is not primarily a license to have sex. Nor is it primarily a license to receive benefits or social recognition. It is primarily a license to have children.

[Read more →]

The A380 welcoming party – Lot’s of glitter and ginned up numbers

Next Monday morning is the long awaited arrival of the first regularly scheduled A380 service to LAX and city officials have dreamed up a day long series of speeches, photo ops and Hollywood stars. Among those attending will be actress and singer Olivia Newton John and actor John Travolta who will be flying in on his own 707 painted in Quantas colors.

Mayor Villaraigosa is scheduled to speak at the A380′s arrival and you can bet he will be parroting some highly exaggerated, if not downright phony figures if he cites the numbers in the press release. (It’s election time) 

These figures look like something cooked up by the Los Angeles Area Chamber of Commerce.

The press release claims:

“The A380 will be an engine of economic growth in Los Angeles for years to come. One daily, international roundtrip of a wide-body aircraft to LAX generates $623 million in economic activity annually, more than 3,000 local jobs, and $156 million in wages. By 2012, LAX is expected to serve more A380 flights than any other airport in North America.”

In this wild series of claims the press release is suggesting that one airplane flying between Melbourne, Australia and Los Angeles each day, hauling 450 travelers is going to -generate- $1.73 million a day for the local economy and add 3,000 local jobs. This one airplane will be the “engine of economic growth in Los Angeles for years to come.”

To generate $1.73 million a day on our local economy those Quanta’s customers traveling between Melbourne and LA must be carrying some serious cash and spending it like AIG executives.  $3850 for each man, women and children. Hard to believe.

It’s also impossible to imagine these job numbers are real as well since the airlines have always beem making frequent changes to their service, offering new routes and discontinuing others. It happens all the time. Looking at this from another angle, I don’t think I’ve ever heard once that discontinuing a route cost Los Angeles 3,000 local jobs, so why should we believe that starting a new service would generate (create) 3,000 local jobs?

And about this service? Is it really new or is the A380 simply replacing one or more other smaller aircraft?  Is there really a $623 million net gain for the economy or is it a wash?  What was the net effect on LA’s economy when Quanta’s was merely flying those little 747′s instead?

Click on read more to view the entire press release. [Read more →]

Digital Billboard update – KCET to report…

KCET reports that it will be broadcasting a report on at 8:00 PM, Oct 16th on the “legal loophole the city is using to break its own law to bring digital billboards to the city’s freeways.”

While KCET is reportedly focusing on freeway billboards, it’s not just the freeways that will be hosting these monster flat panel TV’s on our streets. We are already are seeing these things popping up well within the city’s suburbs and far from our freeways.

Producers of the KCET report, “LA will soon be flooded with nearly 900 digital boards, more than any other city or state in the nation” and they are right.

Who is responsible? It begins with this guy, city attorney Rocky Delgadillo who negotiated a deal with billboard companies to allow the conversion of nearly 900 standard billboards to digital. Who needs a city council when you have a city attorney advising them on HOW they should vote. He seems to call all of the shots.

Given the dire budget shortfall that that Mayor Villaraigosa has led us into, let’s save the city $3 million or more and abolish the city council system and replace it with the neighborhood council system with its all volunteer board members. Citywide I’d bet they would stand up better to Clear Channel, CBS and the other outdoor advertising companies better than our paid elected officials would.

It’s easy enough for those billboard companies to grease the wallets of fifteen city council people and a city attorney but they would go broke trying to buy off a thousand two hundred neighborhood council members.